Credit: CNN
 

 
2016 U.S. elections

 

Guam, which has historically predicted winner, picks Clinton


PUBLISHED Tue, November 08, 2016 - 1:35pm EST


Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has won the straw poll in the U.S. territory of Guam, a factually meaningless vote but one that has accurately predicted the nation's next president since the first poll in the 1980s.

With all 67 precincts reporting, the former secretary of state received 71.6 percent of the vote, against 24.1 percent for Republican challenger Donald Trump. Socialist Party candidate Emidio Soltysik received 4.2 percent.

The straw poll has no effect on the outcome because voters in Guam do not have the right to participate in presidential elections, but the poll is still closely watched because it has accurately predicted the nation's next president since 1984, when the first vote took place.

But while the straw poll has a perfect score in predicting the next president, the results could be less reliable this year, given that some of Trump's core issues are less likely to appeal to citizens of Guam, an island in the Pacific thousands of miles from the U.S. West Coast.

In 2012, President Barack Obama won the straw poll with 72.3 percent, against 26.4 percent for Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

The poll in Guam also marks the nation's first official result from an entire region. People in three small towns in New Hampshire were the first in the United States to cast their votes on Election Day. That vote was won by Trump, who received 32 votes against Clinton's 25 votes.

The next results are expected at around 7 p.m. ET, when polls close in several states on the U.S. East Coast.

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